This would also explain why it happens in only some cities — you can’t simply improvise it anywhere without having the infrastructure. I’m personally not an expert on animal behavior, but as I was told by a biochemist, nothing in biology is 100%. I think he identified 33 "cluster" areas. The reason why to wait for that could be that it is much less suspicious for a person to disappear while out drinking at night in the city than if they just left their house for no reason in the middle of the night. This implies that the way in which these people disappear involves their rapid incapacitation, or at least severe confusion. But still, even assuming that they’re intentional omissions and not just Dave not knowing a fact or Dave keeping a fact to himself in the interest of the family of the victim, it’s very human. Dennis disappeared while Martin kids were playing with the other Martin kids. If they differ, now, that would be interesting, especially if the difference is major. If it keeps happening again and again, what you’ve got is a systemic anomaly, an anomaly on which you will keep getting more data, an anomaly that you can try to predict. 'S - The New York Times June 16, 1987, J. Deardorff, B. Haisch, B. Maccabee and H.E. Missing 411-The Devil's in the Detail. [10], Paulides has said North America Bigfoot Search was instrumental in the genesis of a paper published in 2013, which claimed that Bigfoot was real: "The world needs to understand that North America Bigfoot Search was the organizer of the study. It may even be an intelligence-type operation, specifically, which means that there could be an effort to avoid statistical detection or to obscure the true motivation by introducing false leads and using all kinds of misdirection, if not outright destruction of evidence, intimidation, or assassination. The person could have fallen into some hard-to-access crevice or got buried. I'm going to begin this review by writing a conclusion; If you want to really know the story(s) behind what this movie is based upon, do NOT watch the movie first, you may get confused, and you surely will not be presented the embodiment of the book(s) content. The Missing 411 books take a deeper look into these specific situations which seem to defy all logic. Eve (Lucie Debay), the only character in "Hunted" with a name, is working on a construction project in an unnamed country, but she seems like an outsider in early scenes.The work isn't going well, and neither is a relationship. Before I get into the things that connect all the cases, like profile points, geographic clusters, and the possible logics behind victim or perpetrator behaviors, I feel I should first address all the ad hominem attacks leveled at Dave (he keeps calling himself Dave from the point of view of third persons, and I’m a third person, so why not). People make errors. Found inside“Crack open this book and take a read. With all the insults out of the way, let’s look at the profile points. This first book in the reissue of the original Avon pocket books tells the story of the childhood and adolescence of the twenty-first Phantom. "[12] The website for the DeNovo Journal of Science was set up on February 4, and there is no indication that Ketchum's work, the only study it has published, was peer reviewed. Because of this predictable universal connection, this profile point by itself doesn’t necessarily mean anything strange on its own. The only theory other than aliens was KGB, or some sort of organized crime hit, but then it isn’t clear why the agents or criminals would fail to properly dress the guy. Cases with positive evidence of the impossible (facts gleaned from autopsies, missing being found in unlikely places, etc.) Last May, I met him at a pizza joint in . If you’re convinced that it can’t be any of the exotic explanations, then what is any possible explanation? Trusted by our community of over 230 million users. How odd is enough? In theory, both may only be a product of sheer randomness, like number of pirates in the world inversely correlating to CO2 emissions, or they may reflect a statistical artifact caused by how the sample was selected, like unwittingly going by an ordered list. Missing 411 was created after Paulides was approached by park rangers who presented him with information regarding several missing person cases which they believed to be abnormal. How do you keep getting bodies into water without it being seen, ever? In his pursuit of Bigfoot, Paulides self-published two Bigfoot-related books[7] and created the research group[8][4] called "North America Bigfoot Search"[9] for which he serves as director. Moreover, again ironically, there are many other both genetically and culturally much older groups. If you simulate a physical world and you want to interfere with it without rewriting natural laws all the time, you use any fuzziness or ambiguity within them, like chaotic probability, to essentially cheat. But I think there’s more to it than that. Apart from this (the fact that a personal attack is a logical fallacy, not a counterargument), if Dave incorrectly interprets some data point or a causal relation, it’s an error, not a crime. I await suggestions. [1][2], In his online biography page, Paulides states that he received his undergraduate and graduate degrees from the University of San Francisco, and in 1977 he began a 20-year career in law enforcement, transferring in 1980 to the San Jose Police Department, working in the patrol division on the SWAT Team, patrol, and Street Crimes Unit, and a variety of assignments in the detective division. That’s roughly a bit odd to the fourth power. It should never be tens of percent. Forests being bigger and unmarked could certainly be an issue, just like the number and type of local predators or overall crime rates in the area, and maybe that’s something that should be statistically analyzed using data that I don’t have at the moment (comparing forests where people go missing versus those where they don’t go missing based on these criteria). Television Talk. There are cases where a wolf man-type being was described as the one who kidnapped the target, they could be easily able to control dogs and likely to respect them more than humans, and if the shapeshifting into dogs is on the table, they could get around any human settlements, including urban areas, undetected. Resources []. Here I have to give credit to Seriah Azkath and the Snake Brothers, who pointed out the likely direction of causality regarding this profile point on a recent Where Did the Road Go show. However, after they get lost, I would expect more people with colorful clothing to be found, as it cuts both ways. Paulides attributes mysterious, unspecified causes to these disappearances, while data analysis . Find helpful customer reviews and review ratings for Missing 411: The Hunted at Amazon.com. What do search and rescue workers think of David Psalm. And even if the name is just related to the remoteness, more remote and hard-to-get areas would mean the most difficult search environments. Dave assembled the profile by reviewing details of all unexplained disappearances he could find that took place in the U.S. national parks and by noting what they had in common. Missing 411-North America and Beyond. After that, the entities could have panicked, tried and failed to save him, did their best to dress him without his help (as normally, they would perhaps make him dress himself), and dumped him from the air to the top of the nearest pile, perhaps because of the absence of local natural peaks or mountains. If the person was seen, say, falling of a cliff, then that would be an explanation, just like it should be easier to find someone when you’d seen where exactly they entered the forest, at what speed, and in what state of mind. Daily Motion: American Mysteries. For that reason, what you need to focus on are any exceptional, unique, or odd attributes that ideally didn’t have to show up at all, or that would make someone a logical target for a predator, even if you don’t fully understand what that predator is getting out of it. He points out that Oster's paper disproves Paulides' own conclusions, using the information presented in his own research:[21], ...looking at 243 different cases, all of which come from a wide range of decades and scenarios, it becomes very clear that a lot of his claims are incorrect. Dr. Maccabee has been interviewed by print, radio and TV media numerous times since 1978. He lives in Allen County, Ohio and married to Jan Maccabee. Black is a shade of many colors, and nowhere is this more apparent than in the work of New York Times-bestselling author Yana Toboso, whose Black Butler series has captured imaginations of fans all around the world! Paperback in the shadows. Besides chemicals, one could make an argument for an uncommon EM, other type of radiation, or infrasound-based technologies, but nothing should be 100% reliable. However, they aren't. So far, as far as I know, Dave made the clusters map and the table of how far away small children were found. Like the Missing 411 cases. Thousands of…. At most, they managed to say that someone is following them, but not exactly who or where they are, or if they described a specific location, they were already gone within moments (if the location they gave was accurate in the first place). Dave’s criteria for the sample selection seem completely reasonable to me — a case being unexplained is an objective fact. Buy Missing 411: The Hunted - Microsoft Store 11/27- David Paulides has just released his 9th book in the Missing 411 series, Missing 411- Canada. The U.K. study also suggests that the truly undeterminable deaths (called the “sudden adult death syndrome” there) can be incorrectly misdiagnosed as a different cause of death as much as two thirds of the time. After all, if there is an intelligent perpetrator behind at least some of these cases, they can be smart enough not to kidnap and kill too many people. The latter option seems especially plausible, since in none of the recorded calls were any of the victims able to relay any coherent, useful information. Conventionally speaking, this should be a waste of time, since it basically amounts to following coin tosses. If that could be scaled up or turned into a realiable technology, then who knows, maybe it could be possible to cause coincidences, or they could be a side effect of some type of probability-based technology being used. No'body' knows what happened to girls who vanished near Vermont mountains. ** Highlight from today's episode 5:45 Time Stamps: There are so many comparisons that need to be made, and for that you need numbers. While you could come across a person randomly in the forest, it is much harder to be able to single people out, avoid being killed by our weapons (or leaving the dead to be found by us), and cover one’s tracks. Or to put it another way, a pattern of correlations is when the same things keep happening more frequently than they should by chance, while a pattern of coincidences is when unique, extremely unlikely events keep happening in connection to a person, event, phenomenon, etc. ), National Investigations Committee On Aerial Phenomena (1956-1980), Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program (2007–2012), Unidentified Aerial Phenomenon Task Force (current), https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Bruce_Maccabee&oldid=1003153748, Pages using Sister project links with default search, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, "Strong Magnetic Field Detected Following a Sighting of an Unidentified Flying Object,", "The Arnold Phenomenon," January/February and March/April issues of the, "Illegitimate Science? Naturally, without any explanation as to how he got there. While the logical statistical bias of unexplained cases of missing people should be to involve more cases of no obvious cause of death than what you should expect on average for all deaths (since otherwise the cases would likely be explained), the apparent failure rate of medical examiners in the Missing 411 cases still seems wildly excessive to me. Speaking of bizarre and inexplicable, these books and documentaries describe a growing number of cases (now in the low thousands) of people going missing or being found under strange circumstances. This means that in order for this profile point to mean something more interesting, the person would have to be found despite the bad weather, in a place they shouldn’t have been, and either alive when they should have died of exposure, or dead with no clear cause of death when they should have still been alive. Which leaves being jumped by someone or something as the most likely explanation. Anything to do with poop may be inherently silly, but as recent advances in medical science show, gut microbiome is essential for our physical health and it interacts with our brain, affecting our mood. 's - NYT March 27, 1979, The New York Times - .U.F.O. I certainly wouldn’t be surprised if these were more common for Missing 411 cases than in the general population or among normal park visitors, though it would be interesting to see exactly how much more or less common they are for normal disappearances in the same areas. Part of what makes the cases in Missing 411 so bizarre is the seemingly random selection of victims. As I was listening to various cryptid-related podcasts and shows, I have also encountered mentions of a possible conflict raging between bigfoot and dogmen/skinwalkers. A couple of friends delve into the depths of the extraordinary and unusual. Specifically, when, where, or how they died. No one anywhere has ever seen these people enter water. The phenomenon of missing persons near National Parks in the U.S. is becoming more prominent of an issue as unexplained disappearances of children and adults increase in numbers. How often you run into people with the same first name or surname as you is a function of how rare it is. I will discuss this in more detail when I get to related profile points like the role of bad weather. If an area has been searched dozens of times, chances are the search was sufficient. What I would say does seem obviously wrong are for example the cases of water-related disappearances and deaths in urban areas, where the young white male students figure in almost all of them. Paulides said in the Missing 411 cases, the searchers never get a response, which is strange if people are lost, cold, or hungry. This means that nothing should be taken at face value and that it may be necessary to keep our cards close to the chest — not advertising our best leads or next moves, while trying to set up traps for the adversary. [29][1] He concluded that the allegedly unusual disappearances represent nothing unusual at all, and are instead best explained by non-mysterious causes such as falling or sudden health crises leading to a lone person becoming immobilized off-trail, drowning,[30] bear (or other animal) attack, environmental exposure, or even deliberate disappearance. For over 100 years a giant unknown hairy monster has been terrorizing the people of Southern Illinois. Maybe some of the people who died had an allergic reaction to whatever method of incapacitation or memory wipe was used. A home for weird ideas, future visions, and mad ramblings. Missing 411: The Hunted. But I myself am very interested in what could be called the science of coincidence, so let’s talk about what coincidences may mean for a bit. If you have any theories or suggestions yourselves, I’m all ears. See Movies in Theaters. Like the case of Zigmund Adamski — criminal activity was not ruled out, which rules it out as a Missing 411 case, but it was not ruled out precisely because there was evidence of foul play. Only the strongest survive ... most of the timeRaven may be a shifter, but she's always felt separate from her wolf. Missing 411 : The Hunted (David Paulides' research into the missing), July 2019 References [ edit ] ^ Broad, William J - Urge To Investigate And Believe' Sparks New Interest In U.F.O.'S - The New York Times June 16, 1987 The main two cases involving multiple odd coincidences are the disappearance of Dennis Martin and the death of Elisa Lam. The Bermuda Triangle would be unknown if it were not for the efforts of a few imaginative authors who cited actual disappearances, and then made all sorts of insinuations of mysterious conditions and inexplicable circumstances, cloaking ordinary but tragic events with an air of mystery. should be considered irrelevant in the absence of additional inexplicable positive evidence. Without a doubt, one of most fascinating if outright grim mysteries of our modern times is the truly bizarre and mind-bending disappearances of people right across the North American continent, but particularly throughout the United States. Yeah, that’s a weird one, which probably makes it a good profile point. Better yet, there are a few cases in which the body was reported to be completely frozen, in a non-freezing environment. Put simply, this profile point is something that makes it harder to find a missing person and easier for people to get more lost. It’s not crazy talk, it’s a genius speculation of one of the sci-fi greats. The science is almost there. Moreover, if you could pull this off, you would want to use this technique to help someone or manipulate them without it being traceable back to you, or without it being scientifically provable that it was a communication at all. It's Venom vs. Spider-Man once again...for the first time! Eddie Brock takes on a very different web-slinger: Ben Reilly! With Venom a wanted man and Eddie's ex-wife Anne Weying caught in the middle, a deadly rivalry is reborn! What an apt name, by the way, SADS. This course book offers a portion of the original Latin text, study questions, a commentary, and interpretative essays. When there's a pattern in the type of victims that go missing, police typically believe it's the work of a serial killer. For example, the cases in which the missing died of major head trauma, of what was described as a possible propeller strike, even through a helmet or when there was no height to fall from hard enough. All of the profile points should be quantified and the exact numbers published in tables, ideally in comparison with relevant control samples. It would either mean that Jon Oliver was even more right than he thought when he was describing the current sorry state of how especially coroners (the ones without any actual medical training) operate in the United States, or it would mean that some of the Missing 411 profile points actually function as a cause of or significant contributing factor to the sudden adult death syndrome. Furthermore, if I understand the abstract of the U.S. study correctly, 5% of autopsy reports in the U.S. list the cause of death as undetermined, even though the real number of undeterminable deaths is much lower than that. If some sort of targeted infrasound, microwave, or EM-based device is used, I bet you can make someone feel unwell at a distance, or make them hallucinate, or start behaving irrationally. Disappearance Missing 411: The Hunted (2019) | Official Trailer HD Detectives investigate 6 missing person cases in and around Idyllwild Mysteries of the missing: An in-depth look at the disappeara The Chilluminati Podcast - Episode 22 - Missing 411 Part 1 First-time Oscar nominee Sam Elliott talks Bigfoot and Bradley Cooper Missing 411 with . The Missing 411 Conspiracies. Sure, it would be somewhat difficult to hide the act of construction, but again, even your standard government can pull that off. For example, two women missing in different years both had names starting with an 'A' with three-letters, Amy and Ann. This is also one of the profile points that may simply cause people not to be found, at all or in time to save the person, reversing the causality. If there is evidence that something weird was going on with the dog, that’s the part that should be focused on, in my opinion — presence of inexplicable evidence is always more interesting than a correlation alone. As for any data points or theories that may shed some light on why the clothing tends to be missing, the only explanations provided by the survivors of something like a Missing 411 incident are either that they removed it themselves (without understanding why and later regretting it), or the story of one little girl that a dog/wolf man “ate” some articles of her clothing. I guess I should look into places in the Czech Republic with our version of this, involving the word “Čert” in the name. [4] In response, a petition was created to make the department accountable. Paperback Apr 2014. [10] Shortly after publication two months later in the inaugural issue of DeNovo: Journal of Science,[10] the paper was analyzed by Sharon Hill of Doubtful News for the Committee for Skeptical Inquiry. Profile points that make people more likely to go missing or to not be found in general (bad weather, dogs and trackers failing to track, etc.) The evidence for Dave not cherry-picking is that he himself has no idea why most of the profile points are what they are, what they mean. If a criminal group with the same unusual means and methods of abducting people in a forest setting is taking advantage of bad weather to kidnap and do god knows what with people in the same unusual ways, then the bad weather compromising searches should correlate more often with cases that contain other unusual elements to them than with normal cases of people going missing in a forest. It would make much more sense for this tech to be involved in the urban cases. I’ve been trying to find the best data that doesn’t fit with the dominant paradigm of what is or isn’t supposed to be physically possible. The clearest one is the account of being taken into a cave with robots and then asked to poop on a foil, but a similar conclusion can be drawn from less obvious accounts, like the one about there being continuous sunlight for several days. and Ph.D. in physics). - Inflation-Theory Implications for Extraterrestrial Visitation - British Interplanetary Soc., 58, 43-50, 2005, Maccabee, Bruce, - Photometric Properties of an Unidentified Bright Object Seen Off the Coast of New Zealand - Applied Optics, Vol 18, No. Specifically, either cryptids known as dogmen, or some version of skinwalkers who can shapeshift into canine forms. Anything that makes you more visible from a longer distance by default makes you an easier target for any kind of predator, animal, human, or otherwise. These people should not be considered reliable witnesses, but they should have some witness testimonies to offer. While phenomena of this type are not strictly speaking ruled out by theoretical physicists, they would at the very least expect them to be substantially more rare, if they were to occur strictly naturally. This is why one should look into the work of people like Steph Young or various other paranormal investigators. Finally, being associated with Bigfoot research also doesn’t disqualify everything that you say about anything. There could also be competing goods, but let’s table that for now. This invokes a motivation or mentality that either has something to do with genetics or culture, or a specific grudge. Oct 31, 2017 — Paulides created the Missing 411 books and documentary, which chronicle allegedly preternatural disappearances in or near national parks.. Sep 23, 2019 — 15 Wikipedia Pages About Missing People That Are Both Terrifying . Some, such as the disappearance of 2-year-old DeOrr Kunz might be attributed to a child who walked off and got snatched up by a bear. And even then, there often still should have been enough time to use the phone to report or record what happened. This astounding work brings professional investigative abilities and forensic artistry to the field of Bigfoot studies. David Paulides, a former police investigator, has applied his skills to questioning Bigfoot witnesses. ", "Skeptics take on God, psychics, even science", "MCS SkeptiCamp 2017 – Kyle Polich – Frontiers in Woo", "The Mishandling of the Missing 411 Phenomenon", "Missing 411- Eastern United States: Unexplained Disappearances of North Americans That Have Never Been Solved", "Strange Disappearances in National Parks – David Paulides News Clips", "David Paulides Missing 411 – C2C – 12th March 2014 HR (1)", The Sasquatch and Other Unknown Hominoids, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=David_Paulides&oldid=1041555781, 21st-century American non-fiction writers, Short description is different from Wikidata, Articles with unsourced statements from August 2021, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 31 August 2021, at 06:01. Especially if it’s only about taking advantage of naturally forming bad weather, as that would then maintain its normal, statistically insignificant rate of incidence. Yes, under these specific circumstances, things like temporal displacement start sounding more likely than dozens of searchers missing an obvious corpse dozens of times. When all you understand couldn’t have happened, it points to none of that. And it is what profiling is, in a way — you’re looking for cases that include selected elements. Remember, Occam’s razor does not exclude “something I don’t understand happened”. The unusual death following a plot of a movie, an unusual plot, moves this coincidence to about a bit odd to the sixth power. Like to teleport. Then again, at this point, it’s not much more than entertaining fiction. There are four books out in the series, and most everyone who has read them seems to think they are great. Let’s approach this like a normal social scientist would approach reviewing a student’s thesis. It would be easier to do in a city setting, where there are at least roads all over the place, but in that case, I would expect someone at some point seeing some of the kidnappings. This is a suspiciously good record. However, they may not follow that perfectly. No, the evidence is the only thing that matters. Read honest and unbiased product reviews from our users. As for the specific weird scenarios that were reported, assuming the reports were accurate, they seem to be conistent with there being an organized perpetrator. I could also go on and on, but I think this is more than enough for now. Granted, Elisa Lam is a rare name, so it’s a case of a rare name of a test that is the same as a human name, which was the same as a rare name of a person who died unusually, while the test was being used at the time and place where they died. An animal could have sneakily killed and buried the missing person. Maybe more younger and older people get missing more often in general, or specifically, maybe kids always get missing more often when they’re watched by relatives other than their parents. If we can already think of that, and undoubtedly would do it ourselves given the opportunity, it’s not crazy. The ideal places to build bases would be at the bottom of the ocean or under beautiful sacred mountains, given that the former is still much less explored than the surface of the Moon and Mars, and that the latter is about the last place where humans would start a large-scale, invasive digging operation. Missing 411: The Hunted is based on the book by Paulides, which documents 185 cases of missing peoples from four different countries. One woman is asking the question, and the other is answering the question. The reason why foul play was suspected in this case was that there were burn marks found on the body, which has happened in at least one Missing 411 urban case that I’m aware of. **I am not affiliated with the Missing 411 brand, however I do have permission to share this video from the Missing 411 founder, David Paulides. That’s inductive research, it’s good science. Regarding this profile point, I tend to agree with a number of people who say that Dave overestimates the weirdness of people leaving essential items behind, as you can easily do that when you don’t think you’ll be gone long or when you just have a standard brain fart. That would be bad enough if done systematically by some sort of human agency, but the inside-out clothing indicates that it really might not involve humans, or at least not exactly us, modern-day humans (insert you favorite sci-fi modifier here). It’s also unusual for such high percentage of adults to remember what happened, but then not report it, to not even make anything up, which would be the only normal alternative explanation. Dave Paulides brings his law-enforcement investigative and analytical skills to an expanded area of research: the counties in Northern California that have reported the greatest numbers of bigfoot occurrences, and beyond to Minnesota and ... Fact and fiction combine in a classic that scared Vermonters out of the woods. If these coincidences seem pedestrian or contrived to you, brace yourself. (www.canammissing.com) Missing 411-The Devil's in the Detail.This is the fourth book in the blockbuster "Missing 411" series that describes unusual incidents of people that have disappeared in National Parks and forests of the world. Usually, the tragic stories are about mushroom poisoning. After analyzing the missing person data, Polich concluded that these cases are not "outside the frequency that one would expect, or that there is anything unexplainable that I was able to identify. This means that this profile point is only interesting in combination with other data points that involve positive evidence.

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