Those "smarties" and their math? 1 Summary 1.1 Teaser 1.2 Act One 1.3 Act Two 1.4 Act Three 1.5 Act Four 1.6 Act Five 2 Memorable quotes 3 Background information 3.1 Story and script 3.2 . In the case of the series, two significant things happen that render their calculations inaccurate: In the Foundation novels psychohistory was only successful at predicting (and manipulating) the future because several layers of control were established in two "foundations" who continued to manipulate events as they unfolded, sort of like steering a kayak down the rapids. Kira advises Weyoun to not pull his we’re-all-friends-here act on Sisko as he’s not in the mood. "Statistical Probabilities" Written by Pam Pietroforte and Rene Echevarria Directed by Anson WilliamsSeason 6, Episode 9 Production number 40510-533 Original air date: November 22, 1997 . They’re also all a bit nutty: Jack talks a mile a minute, Lauren lounges about being flirtatious and sedcutive, Patrick is very childlike, and Sarina doesn’t talk at all. Explorer 4. Stardate: unknown. What I appreciated most about this episode was the way it basically showed that people who consider themselves smart, bright geniuses who believe they know everything because they have higher qualifications are inherently flawed with their almost inherent sense of arrogance that anything they say is correct simply because they're smarter. While this site is dedicated to free speech, the following will not be tolerated: devolving . In the ninth episode of the sixth season of Deep Space Nine, Bashir becomes involved in a complicated journey with four other individuals who were genetically enhanced. At the same time, however, such actions taken by the parents have to be discouraged, otherwise the procedure would become accepted and everyone would feel compelled to have their children enhanced in order to simply "keep up"—which could have disastrous consequences. So much for statistics -- what Mark Twain called "damned lies." Have fun doing so, but there is one major rule: do not discuss political issues that aren't directly and uniquely related to the subject of the thread and about gaming. DS9 "Statistical Probabilities" Hottar II. Bashir is asked to help a group of genetically enhanced people integrate into normal society. Dr. Bashir's "hiding to appear normal" and "feeling understood" by the other mutants ("low"functioning autist, Kanner-Autist...) resonates strongly with me ("high" functioning autist). To find the pdf for a situation, you usually needed to actually conduct the experiment and collect data. Is it based on a real condition or did the writers just shove a bunch of things into one person? Planeta Kabrel II. 598 VOY Concerning Flight. Found insideJim DeFelice’s brilliantly entertaining West Like Lightning is the first major history of the Pony Express to put its birth, life, and legacy into the full context of the American story. 607 VOY Hunters. Is that a moral act? While it was fun seeing Q on the series the first time around, all subsequent appearances became pointless. 608 DS9 Honor Among Thieves . Surely the psychohistorian crew didn't anticipate that event. Found insideThis book discusses ethical questions surrounding research and innovation in military and humanitarian contexts. It focuses on human enhancement in the military. (DS9: "Statistical Probabilities") In 2374 , the Dominion attempted to simultaneously test an experimental torpedo and use it for plans of destruction. But he draws the line at surrender, and is unwilling to consider Bashir’s recommendation on that score. Bashir helps a group of eccentric fellow genetically engineered Humans try to make a useful contribution to the Federation; the Dominion offers to sign a truce with the Federation. There's a good chance that Starfleet is full of genetically-engineered officers. Nietzsche's "The Gay Science" (which used to be one of my favorite philosophical books and from what I understand was a difficult title to translate) may very well back up your argument there Peter G. As a graduate of one of the lesser regarded social sciences, I am absolutely tickled that a discussion of the validity of said sciences has become a discussion of what the *word* science means. Production number 40510-533 ( DS9: " Statistical Probabilities ") Share It was just a few episodes ago that Weyoun projected that as well and suggesting annihilating its population. It's true that probabilities like these become more accurate the farther into the future you go, and that while they are good at predicting the actions of large groups of people (say, 900 billion ;)) they are not so accurate for single individuals. Mark Watches 'Deep Space Nine': S07E05 - Chrysalis. Story by Pam Pietroforte You can preorder the novel from the SleepyReads web site, or order it directly from Keith, who’ll also autograph it (and you can order a bunch of his other fiction at this link, too…). The group calculated that more lives would be saved if the Federation surrendered to the Dominion. Mark watches full runs of television series. To withdraw your consent, see Your Choices. It’s interrupted by Jack, who has managed to gain access to the comm systems. VOY "Warlord" Inivar Prime. In which Jack announces that Starfleet is wrong in dismissing the analysis and that his own decision to surrender should stand. Screenshot of DS9's "Statistical Probabilities," with the engineered humans and Bashir. The moment I first saw the colourful assortment of seemingly one-note Ha Ha Crazy People!!! Tasha Yar was a character who was Picard's chief of security for season 1 of TNG that left after the first season. Someone already mentioned it, but I like how Bashir suggests that a Dominion-occupied Federation will produce an uprising on Earth. 601 VOY Mortal Coil . It's the only episode I've skipped to date. Ha. The NASA Mars (and thus PIC Mars) seems to be between 1,386 and 1,392 pixels in diameter -vertical- (for the former I was being more conservative with my assumption on where the atmosphere ended and the planet began, both the base composite image and the lined one shall be available at the end of this post), which makes each pixel between 4.891km and 4.869km The waltz played during the celebration—to which Bashir and Lauren dance—is “The Blue Danube,” composed by Johann Strauss II. Bashir can't see how anyone would be willing to overlook such "conclusive" evidence of the Federation's imminent demise. Nevertheless, even though they're sometimes a little cartoonish, these characters work, especially the strong-willed Jack (as energetically played by the entertaining Ransom), who proves to be a constant challenge for Bashir. This episode had me cringing from the opening scene, with its one-dimensional caricatures of the mentally ill standing in for genetic experimentation gone wrong. And that's putting aside Booming's repeated equation of the social "sciences" with science (in this case, medical research), as if there's no distinction. 2371. Welcome aboard: Tim Ransom, Hilary Shepard Turner, Michael Keenan, and Faith C. Salie play the “Jack Pack.” All four will return in “Chrysalis” in the same roles. Statistical Probabilities: Directed by Anson Williams. Also, Sarina aiding Bashir in foiling Jack's plan was reasonable, and the fact that Jack couldn't even predict Sarina's "betrayal" of him made for a pretty good point: How can Jack be so sure about the future when he couldn't even predict the actions of one person in his own room? Day 124: DS9, Rocks and Shoals. What other kinds of probabilities are there? Albeit I enjoyed the next (Jack/Lauren/Patrick/Sarina)episode more. This is a prime example of an episode that I want to like more than I did. When you’re doing it in the equivalent of a back alley, sometimes stuff will go wrong. Name: Series: Episode: Kacey Brynn: Battlestar Galactica: Precipice: Kaftan: Dr. Who: Tomb of the Cybermen: Kahlest: Star Trek: NG: Sins of the Father: Kailea Vernius It was interesting hearing a raw discussion of the costs of the Dominion War, as well as the current course of the war. Bashir is thrilled because the “Jack Pack” can’t get enough about the war ever since they saw Damar’s speech, and the doctor is running out of material to give them. It's no wonder the odds are against them. In The Cult of Smart, educator and outspoken leftist Fredrik deBoer exposes this omission as the central flaw of our entire society, which has created and perpetuated an unjust class structure based on intellectual ability. In which he plans to contact Weyoun and Damar anyway, who are on the station for a diplomatic meeting. You shouldn't think, just DO STUFF! Found inside – Page 221One final example of mental instability from Deep Space Nine – 'Statistical Probabilities' – illustrates that ... very much in the register of the autistic savant.40 As Sisko points out, 'They're turning out projections that would take ... Jack was based on the character of Dean Moriarty from the novel On the Road (who was in turn based on Neal Cassady). Neil Garg, Professor of Chemistry, University of . And in captain news we got Patrick Stewart . When Russian (or Soviet) intelligence got notes from someone who wanted to pass along secret information, Putin and Gorbachev never met someone in a broom closet. In this specific context, the episode soars, showing us that prejudicial treatment of people like this is bad for everyone, but especially for those who are ignored and invisible to the world. Très expressif dans cet épisode, le petit père Shatner. Trek Celebs are all over the place this week. Excellent actor. 15 January VOY: "Alter Ego" airs. Kira meets Weyoun and Damar at the airlock. Two of the group’s predictions—the Romulans entering the war and a rebellion forming among Cardassians—will come to pass, the former in “In the Pale Moonlight,” the latter in the final arc of the series. Keith R.A. DeCandido reminds everyone that his Sleepy Hollow novel Children of the Revolution will be out this month, just in time for season 2 of the FOX TV show on which it’s based to debut. You know, I was surprised by how much I liked this one. 597 DS9 Statistical Probabilities . But it does seem strange that nobody else pointed out the blatant error in his analysis. Still, he sells the rest of it superbly, and the others do quite well, also, particularly Faith C. Salie, who does so much with facial expressions. You’ll get to read a private blog, extra reviews, and other such rewards. Directed by Jonathan West. Previous episode: Resurrection Tune in for everything from episode and character analysis to history of women beh DS9 "Statistical Probabilities" A Starfleet officer can be an 1. Bashir gets to see how his life might have turned out had his parents not found a good doctor to perform his enhancements. Thank you for keeping the discussion, and our community, civil and respectful. Jack contacts Weyoun and calls for a meeting. All in all, it was an interesting and thought-provoking episode. They all accept her now. The events of this episode will be referenced by Sloan of Section 31 in both “Inquisition” and “Inter Arma Enim Silent Leges.”. TNG "The Offspring" Icarus Prime Magnesium vapour atmosphere Visited by USS Voyager prior to . It's a winner even with the flawed finale, but it could've been even more. I overall liked this episode for much of the reasons Jammer pointed out. Sisko is impressed with their projections and agrees to suggest that Starfleet Command accept their recommendations. "Statistical Probabilities" is a strong hour of money-saving DS9 that gets to the heart of Bashir and his problem, tackling issues that went unanswered in "Presume.". They pieced together the entire story of how Damar came to power. Unfortunately, the DS9 Companion decided to . Yes, there were glaring logic and plot holes, but to only acknowledge these shortcomings would be to completely miss the point of the show. O’Brien and Bashir are impressed to say the least. Jack had one too many "Hm? Julian tells his friends that many people whose parents submitted them to genetic enhancement did not fair as well as his own. At times, there is a sympathy in the text that I didn’t expect, but at other times, it wasn’t enough to counter the Othering I felt from the narrative. Whether it was exploring Kira's days during the Bajoran Resistance, or Worf's trying to stay connected to his Klingon's roots, or Bashir trying to help those who receive genetic enhancement, only for those people to go in a negative path, the show gave us rich characters that only added to the show. What does that do? Sisko is less than receptive to this notion, even when Bashir gives him the long-term projection that a rebellion will eventually overthrow the Dominion and a new Federation will be born. Meanwhile, Odo shows up at the cargo bay to inform Weyoun and Damar that there’s no meeting. The ending is very well done, as Bashir is reminded that projections are just that: projections. In "becoming the ship" and saving them from Early, River finally connected with the rest of the crew. (Apropos of nothing, a Fantastic Four novel by the late Pierce Askegren that your humble rewatcher edited back in 1998 called Countdown to Chaos also made use of psychohistory as the Mad Thinker tried to bring about chaos by manipulating small events to eventually lead to a disaster.). Benjamin Lafayette Sisko. Or telepathic species or other species that do certain things better than humans? So much is not included in even the best projections as to render them fairly hopeless in predicting large-scale events. As a watcher this episode creates a series of grave contradictions in my mind. Diplomat Example of civilian on board starships are Officer's families and relatives. – I am now on Patreon! Receive notification by email when a new comment is added. Scientist 3. That's as much as that poor devil can do.". 8 January VOY: "Fair Trade" airs. Colm Meaney is getting tough, Kurtzman and Orci are going underwater, and Quinto is hanging with C-3PO. However, while the trio are en route, they’re intercepted by Bashir and a security guard. Directed by Anson Williams. And most importantly, they had a unique way of contributing to society, one that no one would have ever discovered without Julian. The colorful characters, alienation, and the new sense of purpose they found in predicting the outcome of the war made for some very interesting situations. Dude are you secretly working for the Dominion? Episode Particulars: S6EP2, "Rocks and Shoals". And it’s also got the foursome engaged in a project for the first time, and Bashir doesn’t want to lose that. Well that's the problem Peter, it isn't just the Prophets. This was an excellent, thought-provoking episode, but not a satisfactory end to the series. Then Worf was promoted to chief of security. It is pretty comical to think Starfleet gave top secret information to a bunch of people from an insane asylum. Sarina has gone on to become a recurring character in various Star Trek novels, including Zero Sum Game and the forthcoming Disavowed by David Mack, Plagues of Night and Raise the Dawn by David R. George III, and the recent miniseries The Fall. Bashir was specifically named the station's intelligence officer, so it makes sense that he would have access to information nobody else on the station does except perhaps Sisko. Intrigued? A group of genetically engineered humans are brought to Dr. Bashir on DS9 in hopes of integrating them with the rest of the universe. You are not alone! I think that was the point of the episode and it came out beautifully. Rosamund Pike and Rafe Judkins Answer Questions About Amazon’s, Annie Wersching Will Play the Borg Queen in, 5 Young Adult Fantasies for Lovers of Libraries, How to Heist Your Unfinished Novel: A Writer’s Guide, Five Ghosts You Should Definitely Invite to Your Cookout, The Dragonlance Books Launched My Lifelong Love of Fantasy, You Read Too Much Into Little Things: Grace Chan’s “The Mark”, Past and Future Lives: Six Books About Reincarnation. But it was satisfying in one major sense. But there’s something the group missed. “Statistical Probabilities” That would’ve been the perfect thing for him to bring up in the conversation with Bashir. He wants the Jack Pack’s help in winning the war, not telling him how to lose it. Seeing Weyoun and Damar hiding out in a storage bay waiting for him to show up was priceless, as was Odo's reaction to finding them there. 599 DS9 The Magnificent Ferengi . Is that the world they should live in? Ever since the Truth . This highly intelligent collection of ROBOTICA reveals a stunning analysis of the world of robots and what they perceive of the men and machines around them - giving an inspired insight into the inner emotions of animated appliances such ... Unfortunately, the other members of Jack's group are too broadly drawn and cliché to be really effective. These colorful characters seem like they were created to please an audience who simply wanted to see funny, lovable crazy people, but I don't know if "Statistical Probabilities" really needed to rely on the mental institution motif so heavily; this episode is really more about how these characters bring rise to Bashir's central problem. There’s certainly stuff I’ve read in reviews of mine from the start of Mark Does Stuff that embarrasses me now, especially since I was so certain I got things right. The Sisko is of Bajor: Sisko is very tolerant of Bashir’s ramblings, and lets him go on at great length before reeling him back in, willing to take the time to learn exactly how the Jack Pack came by their projections. Beyond how well it is used to analyze one of the show's protagonists, it is a wonderful devastating commentary on technocracy, the rule of the sage elites and the false promise of social science (appropiately dissecting the difference between "risk," as portrayed by games of chance, and the "epistemic uncertainty" that characterizes the real world and foils attempts to make predictions about human societies). Original air date: November 22, 1997 Star Trek TOS: The Menagerie Part 1. 604 DS9 Who Mourns for Morn? 153rd of 173 produced in DS9 153rd of 173 released in DS9 535th of 804 released in all Jack, Lauren, Patrick, and Sarina, the genetically-engineered Humans, return to the station, asking Bashir to help rouse Sarina from her cataleptic state. Statistical Probabilities is an interesting episode of Star Trek: Deep Space Nine, on a number of levels.. What doesn't make sense is why he would still be trusted with any intelligence after handing it over to the certifiably insane. It wasn't necessary in terms of this week's story, and I'm sure there could've been a way around it. All of the parasitic organisms highlighted in this new book represent medically important human pathogens that contribute significantly to the global burden of disease. "Going through my own adolescence was difficult enough. Bashir and O’Brien and the foursome all watch Damar’s speech, and Jack, Lauren, and Patrick—who have never heard of Damar before and are only vaguely aware of the political situation—immediately divine that Damar is a puppet, that he’s saying words he doesn’t want to say, that he’s sad, that he doesn’t sleep, that he recently killed someone close to him, and that he works for a dark knight he can’t control. Found insideWe trace the Life of Saint Maria Goretti. Keep your ears open: “There are rules, don’t talk with your mouth full, don’t open an airlock when somebody is inside it, and don’t lie about your genetic status!”. I'm not horribly disappointed that Bashir didn't catch on to the error of his ways. Access syllabi, lecture content, assessments, and more from our network of college faculty. Walk with the Prophets: “There but for the grace of God.” A diverting little episode that shows us the dark side of illegal genetic manipulation. As expected, Starfleet Command rejects the recommendation. Star Trek DS9 - 6x09 - Statistical Probabilities. That sounds like a ridiculous idea, but it’s even more upsetting once we got the details. In the Top 5 DS9 episodes for me. I see the episode as a commentary on that sad fact - a social commentary if you will -- except that economists are the ones doing the calculating and they are listened to by governments and corporations -- not ignored as crazy. When he wakes up, he’s tied to a chair, the computer’s voice interface is down, and the only person in the room with him is Sarina, who doesn’t talk. Next week: A rerun of "A Simple Investigation," followed by more reruns until the week of New Year's, when we're supposed to get a major Ferengi outing. They don't act moronic, they act mostly immature. My Valentine Margaret Notebook / Diary / Journal The perfect Valentines gift for your loved one! Original air date: October 28, 1998. Bashir, I Presume”. Well, they're just wrong, HAH! This book is a must for scientists, as well as non-scientists, who are interested in the neurobiology of aging, sleep and neurodegenerative disorders. Presumably, Worf took over again when he came back at the end of that episode, and any intelligence Bashir would have had from that time would be hopelessly out of date by this episode. Bashir didn't suffer side effects as did these four, who, brilliant as they may be, exhibit social behavior that falls in the realm of the clinically insane. Posted on November 24, 2016 by Mark Oshiro. And it happens to everyone, myself included! ST:DS9 - Statistical Probabilities There does not seem to be any implication that they were working directly for Sloan or Section 31, he was simply referencing the events of the earlier episode. Synopsis: . Move it forwards. We are all in this together. Summary: Deep Space Nine gets an unexpected visitor; the Bareil from the Mirror Universe, who immediately proves he's not like his counterpart by taking Kira hostage.Once Kira extricates herself from that situation, she talks things over with Bareil and eventually gets Sisko's permission to let Bareil stay on the station, especially since he has no desire to go back where he came from. The only glaring flaw for me was Starfleet allowing access to restricted information. Oh, there’s some great stuff here. Preservation of matter and energy is for wimps: When Odo finds Weyoun and Damar in the cargo bay, he interrupts Weyoun in mid-suck-up, sardonically saying, “I know, it’s an honor to be in my presence.”. 2371 - 2377. Weyoun is the Dark Prince, Gul Dukat is the deposed King, Damar is the Pretender to the throne, and Ziyal is the innocent Princess he murdered. Get answers in as little as 15 minutes. Jeannetta Arnette plays Loews, while recurring regulars Jeffrey Combs and Casey Biggs are back as Weyoun and Damar. BASHIR : If we fight, we'll take over nine hundred billion casualties. Surely Damar and Weyoun would have Starfleet security escorts whilst they were on DS9 and wouldn't be able to walk around freely to the extent that they can go out for clandestine meetings in storage bays? I liked this episode. The video for “Statistical Probabilities” can be downloaded here for $0.99. No sex, please, we’re Starfleet: Lauren spends the entire episode (except when she’s dancing with Bashir) lounging on a divan in various sultry positions, while rejecting Jack’s advances and making advances on Bashir, culminating in an impressive kiss at the end. Note: Here's another instance where episodes were swapped around. Jack, summing up the episode’s theme and establishing that he probably, at some point, opened an airlock when somebody was inside it. They found the world exciting and thrilling! Jack, when listening to Weyoun speak in his native tongue rather than the translation (he learned the Vorta language that morning) notices that Weyoun is using a more passive voice than would be expected from someone making a request, and Patrick notices that they avoid looking at the Kabrel system.

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